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Autor Iva Zelenko   
Četvrtak, 29 Rujan 2016 23:49

Prema najnovijem istraivanju koje je provela nizozemska tvrtka CE Delft, 264 milijuna gra?ana Europske unije moglo bi proizvoditi 45% energetskih potreba do 2050. godine. Istraivanje su naru?ile Europska federacija za obnovljivu energiju, Friends of the Earth Europe, Greenpeace i Europska federacija zadruga za obnovljivu energiju.

Uz sve ve?i udio obnovljivih izvora energije u ukupnoj energetskoj potronji uloga potroa?a kao aktivnih sudionika u elektroenergetskom sustavu u obliku proizvo?a?a energije i/ili osiguravatelja skladinih kapaciteta svakako ?e se pove?ati. U istraivanju se predvi?a da ?e zakonodavne prepreke koje trenutno postoje s vremenom nestati, dok ?e paralelno s time me?unarodne elektroenergetske mree, distribucija energije i sama elektroenergetska trita biljeiti konstantan razvoj, a rast proizvodnje energije iz obnovljivih izvora energije postaje neupitan. Dakako, realizacija svih ovih potencijala zahtijeva zna?ajne zakonodavne promjene i ulaganja.

U samom istraivanju potencijali proizvo?a?i energije podijeljeni su na: ku?anstva koja samostalno proizvode energiju, ku?anstva koja zajedno proizvode energiju a okupljena su unutar odre?ene organizacije kao to je zadruga ili udruenje, javne ustanove (uklju?uju?i javne gra?evine, kole, bolnice, dravne objekte) i male tvrtke koje uklju?uju do 50 zaposlenika. Svi navedeni objekti u istraivanju su sagledani kroz potencijale kapaciteta, proizvodnje, fleksibilnosti (uklju?uju?i mogu?nost skladitenja energije), te ukupnog broja potroa?a i proizvo?a?a koje pojedini objekt predstavlja. Dodatno je vano napomenuti kako je kao osnova istraivanja preuzet Greenpeace Energy [R]evolution scenarij, ?ija je jedna od glavnih karakteristika pretpostavka da ?e isporuka energije do 2050. godine biti 100% odriva.

Krajnji rezultat ovog istraivanja su vrlo opsene Excel tablice iz kojih je mogu?e vidjeti niz pretpostavki do 2050. godine. Tako se, primjerice, procjenjuje da ?e 2050. godine 115 milijuna ku?anstava Europske unije imati elektri?na vozila, 70 milijuna ?e imati pametne elektri?ne bojlere, 60 milijuna ?e na krovovima imati fotonaponske sustave, dok ?e 42 milijuna ku?anstava imati neki oblik sustava za skladitenje elektri?ne energije.

Broj gra?ana uklju?en kroz razli?ite tehnologije do 2050.

Proizvodnja iz Sun?eve energije i energije vjetra do 2050.

Prema istraivanju, oko polovina ku?anstava (113 milijuna) proizvoditi ?e elektri?nu energiju samostalno ili kroz odre?eni zadruni oblik, dok bi oko 161 milijun ku?anstava mogao osigurati neki oblik usluga skladitenja energije kao to su elektri?na vozila, pametni elektri?ni bojleri ili baterije. Veliki udio takvih ku?anstava mogao bi sudjelovati i u samoj proizvodnji elektri?ne energije.

Pretpostavlja se da ?e do 2050. godine broj malih tvrtki koji sudjeluje u proizvodnji elektri?ne energije iznositi 5 do 6 milijuna, dok ?e javnih ustanova biti oko 400 000. Tako?er, oko 83% ku?anstava (oko 187 milijuna) moglo bi postati aktivnim sudionicima.

Mogu?nosti skladitenja energije do 2050. godine

Istraivanje u cijelosti moete pro?itati ovdje.

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